JUSTICE, 1ST COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 5
⚠ 12
● Live Results·2,018,730 ballots cast·Updated 11/5/2026, 2:17:01 PM
59.0%1,185,098
41.0%833,632
Early vote vs Election Day
JESSICA CAIRD gained 4.2 percentage points on Election Day.
Race totals2,018,730 ballots
Early 1,606,224 (79.6%)E-day 412,506 (20.4%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (12)
- Underperform10.0CHAMBERSAMY GUERRA's margin -52.8pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Underperform9.5WASHINGTONAMY GUERRA's margin -49.7pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Underperform9.2AUSTINAMY GUERRA's margin -54.1pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Underperform8.5GRIMESAMY GUERRA's margin -51.7pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Underperform7.0COLORADOAMY GUERRA's margin -49.9pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Underperform6.2GALVESTONAMY GUERRA's margin -13.8pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Swing outlier5.2CHAMBERSAMY GUERRA shifted -0.6pp early→E-day vs -4.3pp statewide (5.4σ outlier)
- Underperform4.6WALLERAMY GUERRA's margin -8.6pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Underperform3.8BRAZORIAAMY GUERRA's margin -1.7pp vs statewide +17.4pp
- Swing outlier3.0WALLERAMY GUERRA shifted -2.3pp early→E-day vs -4.3pp statewide (2.9σ outlier)
- Swing outlier1.7GRIMESAMY GUERRA shifted -5.8pp early→E-day vs -4.3pp statewide (2.3σ outlier)
- Mid-race flip1.5BRAZORIAAMY GUERRA led early (50.1%); JESSICA CAIRD won E-day (55.2%)
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | GUERRA | CAIRD | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| AUSTIN | 2,218 | 652 | 2,870 | 6,925 | 2,717 | 9,642 | 12,512 |
| BRAZORIA | 57,424 | 10,940 | 68,364 | 57,248 | 13,494 | 70,742 | 139,106 |
| CHAMBERS | 3,492 | 1,011 | 4,503 | 11,220 | 3,364 | 14,584 | 19,087 |
| COLORADO | 1,613 | 433 | 2,046 | 4,643 | 1,471 | 6,114 | 8,160 |
| FORT BEND | 162,833 | 29,884 | 192,717 | 105,400 | 22,287 | 127,687 | 320,404 |
| GALVESTON | 47,789 | 8,877 | 56,666 | 60,761 | 13,979 | 74,740 | 131,406 |
| GRIMES | 2,012 | 765 | 2,777 | 5,698 | 3,013 | 8,711 | 11,488 |
| HARRIS | 667,869 | 172,882 | 840,751 | 379,375 | 118,145 | 497,520 | 1,338,271 |
| WALLER | 8,285 | 2,327 | 10,612 | 9,642 | 2,977 | 12,619 | 23,231 |
| WASHINGTON | 3,042 | 750 | 3,792 | 8,735 | 2,538 | 11,273 | 15,065 |
- AUSTIN12,512 totalGUERRAEarly 2,218 · E-day 6522,870CAIRDEarly 6,925 · E-day 2,7179,642
- BRAZORIA139,106 totalGUERRAEarly 57,424 · E-day 10,94068,364CAIRDEarly 57,248 · E-day 13,49470,742
- CHAMBERS19,087 totalGUERRAEarly 3,492 · E-day 1,0114,503CAIRDEarly 11,220 · E-day 3,36414,584
- COLORADO8,160 totalGUERRAEarly 1,613 · E-day 4332,046CAIRDEarly 4,643 · E-day 1,4716,114
- FORT BEND320,404 totalGUERRAEarly 162,833 · E-day 29,884192,717CAIRDEarly 105,400 · E-day 22,287127,687
- GALVESTON131,406 totalGUERRAEarly 47,789 · E-day 8,87756,666CAIRDEarly 60,761 · E-day 13,97974,740
- GRIMES11,488 totalGUERRAEarly 2,012 · E-day 7652,777CAIRDEarly 5,698 · E-day 3,0138,711
- HARRIS1,338,271 totalGUERRAEarly 667,869 · E-day 172,882840,751CAIRDEarly 379,375 · E-day 118,145497,520
- WALLER23,231 totalGUERRAEarly 8,285 · E-day 2,32710,612CAIRDEarly 9,642 · E-day 2,97712,619
- WASHINGTON15,065 totalGUERRAEarly 3,042 · E-day 7503,792CAIRDEarly 8,735 · E-day 2,53811,273