JUSTICE, 1ST COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 5

⚠ 12
● Live Results·2,018,730 ballots cast·Updated 11/5/2026, 2:17:01 PM
59.0%1,185,098
41.0%833,632
Early vote vs Election Day

JESSICA CAIRD gained 4.2 percentage points on Election Day.

AMY GUERRA-4.2pp on E-day
Early 956,577 (80.7%)E-day 228,521 (19.3%)
JESSICA CAIRD+4.2pp on E-day
Early 649,647 (77.9%)E-day 183,985 (22.1%)
Race totals2,018,730 ballots
Early 1,606,224 (79.6%)E-day 412,506 (20.4%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: no dataRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: 320,404 votes · AMY GUERRA 60.1% (192,717) · JESSICA CAIRD 39.9% (127,687) · 65,030 net for leaderParker: no dataKinney: no dataFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: 15,065 votes · AMY GUERRA 25.2% (3,792) · JESSICA CAIRD 74.8% (11,273) · 7,481 net for leaderLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: no dataUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: no dataWaller: 23,231 votes · AMY GUERRA 45.7% (10,612) · JESSICA CAIRD 54.3% (12,619) · 2,007 net for leaderMaverick: no dataKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: no dataCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: 131,406 votes · AMY GUERRA 43.1% (56,666) · JESSICA CAIRD 56.9% (74,740) · 18,074 net for leaderHarris: 1,338,271 votes · AMY GUERRA 62.8% (840,751) · JESSICA CAIRD 37.2% (497,520) · 343,231 net for leaderDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: no dataTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: no dataLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: 8,160 votes · AMY GUERRA 25.1% (2,046) · JESSICA CAIRD 74.9% (6,114) · 4,068 net for leaderWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: 11,488 votes · AMY GUERRA 24.2% (2,777) · JESSICA CAIRD 75.8% (8,711) · 5,934 net for leaderIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: no dataDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: 19,087 votes · AMY GUERRA 23.6% (4,503) · JESSICA CAIRD 76.4% (14,584) · 10,081 net for leaderHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: 139,106 votes · AMY GUERRA 49.1% (68,364) · JESSICA CAIRD 50.9% (70,742) · 2,378 net for leaderThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: no dataBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: no dataWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: no dataHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: 12,512 votes · AMY GUERRA 22.9% (2,870) · JESSICA CAIRD 77.1% (9,642) · 6,772 net for leaderHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: no dataSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: no dataGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (12)
  • Underperform10.0
    CHAMBERS
    AMY GUERRA's margin -52.8pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Underperform9.5
    WASHINGTON
    AMY GUERRA's margin -49.7pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Underperform9.2
    AUSTIN
    AMY GUERRA's margin -54.1pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Underperform8.5
    GRIMES
    AMY GUERRA's margin -51.7pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Underperform7.0
    COLORADO
    AMY GUERRA's margin -49.9pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Underperform6.2
    GALVESTON
    AMY GUERRA's margin -13.8pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Swing outlier5.2
    CHAMBERS
    AMY GUERRA shifted -0.6pp early→E-day vs -4.3pp statewide (5.4σ outlier)
  • Underperform4.6
    WALLER
    AMY GUERRA's margin -8.6pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Underperform3.8
    BRAZORIA
    AMY GUERRA's margin -1.7pp vs statewide +17.4pp
  • Swing outlier3.0
    WALLER
    AMY GUERRA shifted -2.3pp early→E-day vs -4.3pp statewide (2.9σ outlier)
  • Swing outlier1.7
    GRIMES
    AMY GUERRA shifted -5.8pp early→E-day vs -4.3pp statewide (2.3σ outlier)
  • Mid-race flip1.5
    BRAZORIA
    AMY GUERRA led early (50.1%); JESSICA CAIRD won E-day (55.2%)

County results — early vs Election Day

  • AUSTIN12,512 total
    GUERRAEarly 2,218 · E-day 6522,870
    CAIRDEarly 6,925 · E-day 2,7179,642
  • BRAZORIA139,106 total
    GUERRAEarly 57,424 · E-day 10,94068,364
    CAIRDEarly 57,248 · E-day 13,49470,742
  • CHAMBERS19,087 total
    GUERRAEarly 3,492 · E-day 1,0114,503
    CAIRDEarly 11,220 · E-day 3,36414,584
  • COLORADO8,160 total
    GUERRAEarly 1,613 · E-day 4332,046
    CAIRDEarly 4,643 · E-day 1,4716,114
  • FORT BEND320,404 total
    GUERRAEarly 162,833 · E-day 29,884192,717
    CAIRDEarly 105,400 · E-day 22,287127,687
  • GALVESTON131,406 total
    GUERRAEarly 47,789 · E-day 8,87756,666
    CAIRDEarly 60,761 · E-day 13,97974,740
  • GRIMES11,488 total
    GUERRAEarly 2,012 · E-day 7652,777
    CAIRDEarly 5,698 · E-day 3,0138,711
  • HARRIS1,338,271 total
    GUERRAEarly 667,869 · E-day 172,882840,751
    CAIRDEarly 379,375 · E-day 118,145497,520
  • WALLER23,231 total
    GUERRAEarly 8,285 · E-day 2,32710,612
    CAIRDEarly 9,642 · E-day 2,97712,619
  • WASHINGTON15,065 total
    GUERRAEarly 3,042 · E-day 7503,792
    CAIRDEarly 8,735 · E-day 2,53811,273