MEMBER, STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION, DISTRICT 2
⚠ 15
● Live Results·492,305 ballots cast·Updated 11/5/2026, 12:14:01 PM
58.0%286,339
42.0%205,966
Early vote vs Election Day
VICTORIA HINOJOSA gained 8.3 percentage points on Election Day.
Race totals492,305 ballots
Early 385,710 (78.3%)E-day 106,595 (21.7%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (15)
- Underperform8.7VICTORIATHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -28.9pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Underperform7.6ARANSASTHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -48.5pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Underperform7.2WHARTONTHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -39.7pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Underperform6.1JACKSONTHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -59.7pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Underperform6.0MATAGORDATHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -33.9pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Underperform5.7SAN PATRICIOTHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -18.6pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Underperform5.0CALHOUNTHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -38.9pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Underperform2.6REFUGIOTHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -29.8pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Swing outlier2.2KLEBERGTHOMAS RAY GARCIA shifted -13.0pp early→E-day vs -6.6pp statewide (3.6σ outlier)
- Swing outlier2.1WHARTONTHOMAS RAY GARCIA shifted -1.5pp early→E-day vs -6.6pp statewide (2.8σ outlier)
- Swing outlier2.1CALHOUNTHOMAS RAY GARCIA shifted -13.4pp early→E-day vs -6.6pp statewide (3.8σ outlier)
- Underperform0.7KENEDYTHOMAS RAY GARCIA's margin -31.0pp vs statewide +16.3pp
- Mid-race flip0.5NUECESTHOMAS RAY GARCIA led early (53.6%); VICTORIA HINOJOSA won E-day (51.9%)
- Mid-race flip0.4KLEBERGTHOMAS RAY GARCIA led early (55.3%); VICTORIA HINOJOSA won E-day (57.7%)
- Crossover0.2NUECESTHOMAS RAY GARCIA (DEM) won a county with 50.4% REP lean
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | GARCIA | HINOJOSA | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| ARANSAS | 2,241 | 440 | 2,681 | 6,189 | 1,542 | 7,731 | 10,412 |
| CALHOUN | 1,414 | 453 | 1,867 | 2,611 | 1,635 | 4,246 | 6,113 |
| CAMERON | 51,624 | 13,463 | 65,087 | 25,579 | 8,731 | 34,310 | 99,397 |
| HIDALGO | 109,508 | 22,433 | 131,941 | 44,647 | 12,793 | 57,440 | 189,381 |
| JACKSON | 708 | 269 | 977 | 2,637 | 1,236 | 3,873 | 4,850 |
| KENEDY | 38 | 12 | 50 | 69 | 26 | 95 | 145 |
| KLEBERG | 3,289 | 806 | 4,095 | 2,656 | 1,099 | 3,755 | 7,850 |
| MATAGORDA | 2,821 | 698 | 3,519 | 5,308 | 1,820 | 7,128 | 10,647 |
| NUECES | 40,835 | 9,981 | 50,816 | 35,372 | 10,766 | 46,138 | 96,954 |
| REFUGIO | 541 | 291 | 832 | 1,009 | 528 | 1,537 | 2,369 |
| SAN PATRICIO | 5,898 | 2,143 | 8,041 | 8,296 | 3,417 | 11,713 | 19,754 |
| VICTORIA | 7,341 | 2,482 | 9,823 | 11,910 | 5,885 | 17,795 | 27,618 |
| WHARTON | 3,118 | 598 | 3,716 | 7,135 | 1,472 | 8,607 | 12,323 |
| WILLACY | 1,908 | 986 | 2,894 | 1,008 | 590 | 1,598 | 4,492 |
- ARANSAS10,412 totalGARCIAEarly 2,241 · E-day 4402,681HINOJOSAEarly 6,189 · E-day 1,5427,731
- CALHOUN6,113 totalGARCIAEarly 1,414 · E-day 4531,867HINOJOSAEarly 2,611 · E-day 1,6354,246
- CAMERON99,397 totalGARCIAEarly 51,624 · E-day 13,46365,087HINOJOSAEarly 25,579 · E-day 8,73134,310
- HIDALGO189,381 totalGARCIAEarly 109,508 · E-day 22,433131,941HINOJOSAEarly 44,647 · E-day 12,79357,440
- JACKSON4,850 totalGARCIAEarly 708 · E-day 269977HINOJOSAEarly 2,637 · E-day 1,2363,873
- KENEDY145 totalGARCIAEarly 38 · E-day 1250HINOJOSAEarly 69 · E-day 2695
- KLEBERG7,850 totalGARCIAEarly 3,289 · E-day 8064,095HINOJOSAEarly 2,656 · E-day 1,0993,755
- MATAGORDA10,647 totalGARCIAEarly 2,821 · E-day 6983,519HINOJOSAEarly 5,308 · E-day 1,8207,128
- NUECES96,954 totalGARCIAEarly 40,835 · E-day 9,98150,816HINOJOSAEarly 35,372 · E-day 10,76646,138
- REFUGIO2,369 totalGARCIAEarly 541 · E-day 291832HINOJOSAEarly 1,009 · E-day 5281,537
- SAN PATRICIO19,754 totalGARCIAEarly 5,898 · E-day 2,1438,041HINOJOSAEarly 8,296 · E-day 3,41711,713
- VICTORIA27,618 totalGARCIAEarly 7,341 · E-day 2,4829,823HINOJOSAEarly 11,910 · E-day 5,88517,795
- WHARTON12,323 totalGARCIAEarly 3,118 · E-day 5983,716HINOJOSAEarly 7,135 · E-day 1,4728,607
- WILLACY4,492 totalGARCIAEarly 1,908 · E-day 9862,894HINOJOSAEarly 1,008 · E-day 5901,598