MEMBER, STATE BOARD OF EDUCATION, DISTRICT 5
⚠ 9
● Live Results·795,281 ballots cast·Updated 11/5/2026, 10:08:01 AM
70.0%554,203
30.0%241,078
Early vote vs Election Day
MICA ARELLANO gained 12.5 percentage points on Election Day.
Race totals795,281 ballots
Early 647,031 (81.4%)E-day 148,250 (18.6%)
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (9)
- Underperform10.0GUADALUPEALLISON BUSH's margin -11.5pp vs statewide +39.4pp
- Underperform8.6BLANCOALLISON BUSH's margin -47.0pp vs statewide +39.4pp
- Underperform6.9BASTROPALLISON BUSH's margin +5.0pp vs statewide +39.4pp
- Underperform3.9CALDWELLALLISON BUSH's margin +10.9pp vs statewide +39.4pp
- Swing outlier2.3BLANCOALLISON BUSH shifted -6.5pp early→E-day vs -11.4pp statewide (3.9σ outlier)
- Crossover1.4BASTROPALLISON BUSH (DEM) won a county with 52.9% REP lean
- Mid-race flip0.8CALDWELLALLISON BUSH led early (58.7%); MICA ARELLANO won E-day (54.9%)
- Mid-race flip0.5BASTROPALLISON BUSH led early (55.2%); MICA ARELLANO won E-day (56.8%)
- Crossover0.0CALDWELLALLISON BUSH (DEM) won a county with 50.1% REP lean
County results — early vs Election Day
| County | BUSH | ARELLANO | Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Early | E-day | Total | Early | E-day | Total | ||
| BASTROP | 15,443 | 3,483 | 18,926 | 12,527 | 4,585 | 17,112 | 36,038 |
| BLANCO | 1,673 | 300 | 1,973 | 4,357 | 1,114 | 5,471 | 7,444 |
| CALDWELL | 6,441 | 1,530 | 7,971 | 4,534 | 1,865 | 6,399 | 14,370 |
| GUADALUPE | 24,420 | 5,959 | 30,379 | 28,101 | 10,140 | 38,241 | 68,620 |
| HAYS | 62,131 | 11,370 | 73,501 | 33,742 | 9,136 | 42,878 | 116,379 |
| TRAVIS | 339,098 | 63,001 | 402,099 | 92,177 | 31,638 | 123,815 | 525,914 |
| WILLIAMSON | 16,779 | 2,575 | 19,354 | 5,608 | 1,554 | 7,162 | 26,516 |
- BASTROP36,038 totalBUSHEarly 15,443 · E-day 3,48318,926ARELLANOEarly 12,527 · E-day 4,58517,112
- BLANCO7,444 totalBUSHEarly 1,673 · E-day 3001,973ARELLANOEarly 4,357 · E-day 1,1145,471
- CALDWELL14,370 totalBUSHEarly 6,441 · E-day 1,5307,971ARELLANOEarly 4,534 · E-day 1,8656,399
- GUADALUPE68,620 totalBUSHEarly 24,420 · E-day 5,95930,379ARELLANOEarly 28,101 · E-day 10,14038,241
- HAYS116,379 totalBUSHEarly 62,131 · E-day 11,37073,501ARELLANOEarly 33,742 · E-day 9,13642,878
- TRAVIS525,914 totalBUSHEarly 339,098 · E-day 63,001402,099ARELLANOEarly 92,177 · E-day 31,638123,815
- WILLIAMSON26,516 totalBUSHEarly 16,779 · E-day 2,57519,354ARELLANOEarly 5,608 · E-day 1,5547,162