STATE SENATOR, DISTRICT 19

⚠ 16
● Live Results·279,369 ballots cast·Updated 11/5/2026, 1:15:01 PM
64.0%178,739
36.0%100,630
Early vote vs Election Day

MARCUS CARDENAS gained 8.1 percentage points on Election Day.

ROLAND GUTIERREZ-8.1pp on E-day
Early 141,193 (79.0%)E-day 37,546 (21.0%)
MARCUS CARDENAS+8.1pp on E-day
Early 73,170 (72.7%)E-day 27,460 (27.3%)
Race totals279,369 ballots
Early 214,363 (76.7%)E-day 65,006 (23.3%)
Menard: no dataHale: no dataArmstrong: no dataCalhoun: no dataClay: no dataOrange: no dataGonzales: no dataFannin: no dataKerr: no dataRefugio: no dataJim Hogg: no dataDimmit: no dataNolan: no dataBrazos: no dataJefferson: no dataBell: no dataBandera: no dataHidalgo: no dataSchleicher: no dataGrayson: no dataCrosby: no dataDelta: no dataZavala: 2,745 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 73.3% (2,013) · MARCUS CARDENAS 26.7% (732) · 1,281 net for leaderRockwall: no dataEastland: no dataDeWitt: no dataAngelina: no dataMcLennan: no dataLamar: no dataLeon: no dataStonewall: no dataMcMullen: no dataSutton: no dataFort Bend: no dataParker: no dataKinney: 1,177 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 34.9% (411) · MARCUS CARDENAS 65.1% (766) · 355 net for leaderFayette: no dataBriscoe: no dataHarrison: no dataReagan: no dataColeman: no dataOchiltree: no dataCrane: no dataWashington: no dataLynn: no dataMills: no dataOldham: no dataSabine: no dataHopkins: no dataHouston: no dataBexar: 219,719 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 67.6% (148,593) · MARCUS CARDENAS 32.4% (71,126) · 77,467 net for leaderUpton: no dataErath: no dataRandall: no dataRusk: no dataCoryell: no dataComal: no dataAransas: no dataJack: no dataHemphill: no dataShackelford: no dataSan Jacinto: no dataKendall: no dataWharton: no dataFloyd: no dataKarnes: no dataKaufman: no dataDuval: no dataJohnson: no dataFranklin: no dataEdwards: 779 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 18.5% (144) · MARCUS CARDENAS 81.5% (635) · 491 net for leaderWaller: no dataMaverick: 11,502 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 68.9% (7,924) · MARCUS CARDENAS 31.1% (3,578) · 4,346 net for leaderKleberg: no dataGaines: no dataMartin: no dataBowie: no dataAndrews: no dataPotter: no dataGarza: no dataCaldwell: no dataParmer: no dataTitus: no dataTerry: no dataFoard: no dataReal: 1,469 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 18.5% (272) · MARCUS CARDENAS 81.5% (1,197) · 925 net for leaderCarson: no dataKnox: no dataHays: no dataMedina: no dataMotley: no dataWichita: no dataMidland: no dataVictoria: no dataTyler: no dataFalls: no dataPresidio: no dataWillacy: no dataLubbock: no dataHenderson: no dataWalker: no dataGalveston: no dataHarris: no dataDawson: no dataPecos: no dataNacogdoches: no dataGuadalupe: 12,631 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 40.9% (5,164) · MARCUS CARDENAS 59.1% (7,467) · 2,303 net for leaderTarrant: no dataJackson: no dataSwisher: no dataSterling: no dataWinkler: no dataFrio: 3,604 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 53.3% (1,922) · MARCUS CARDENAS 46.7% (1,682) · 240 net for leaderLipscomb: no dataCollingsworth: no dataColorado: no dataWise: no dataGlasscock: no dataShelby: no dataComanche: no dataBurnet: no dataGray: no dataHudspeth: no dataCass: no dataEllis: no dataCooke: no dataWilliamson: no dataCochran: no dataVan Zandt: no dataDonley: no dataJones: no dataGrimes: no dataIrion: no dataNavarro: no dataBrooks: no dataDallam: no dataHunt: no dataMitchell: no dataWood: no dataChildress: no dataJeff Davis: no dataMontague: no dataBrown: no dataHaskell: no dataFisher: no dataConcho: no dataCoke: no dataPolk: no dataCottle: no dataYoung: no dataLee: no dataCherokee: no dataHall: no dataHood: no dataArcher: no dataBaylor: no dataSan Augustine: no dataMadison: no dataMilam: no dataReeves: no dataNueces: no dataCamp: no dataFreestone: no dataRunnels: no dataTerrell: 319 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 27.3% (87) · MARCUS CARDENAS 72.7% (232) · 145 net for leaderDeaf Smith: no dataMarion: no dataLiberty: no dataJasper: no dataHansford: no dataChambers: no dataHardin: no dataCollin: no dataBrazoria: no dataThrockmorton: no dataBastrop: no dataScurry: no dataEctor: no dataLimestone: no dataDenton: no dataRed River: no dataMatagorda: no dataHardeman: no dataPalo Pinto: no dataLive Oak: no dataSherman: no dataUvalde: 8,274 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 47.3% (3,914) · MARCUS CARDENAS 52.7% (4,360) · 446 net for leaderBailey: no dataCulberson: no dataAtascosa: 4,550 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 37.4% (1,700) · MARCUS CARDENAS 62.6% (2,850) · 1,150 net for leaderWilson: no dataStarr: no dataDallas: no dataKimble: no dataMcCulloch: no dataCrockett: 960 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 31.1% (299) · MARCUS CARDENAS 68.9% (661) · 362 net for leaderHill: no dataKent: no dataEl Paso: no dataLoving: no dataDickens: no dataLa Salle: no dataLamb: no dataAustin: no dataHutchinson: no dataVal Verde: 11,355 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 53.9% (6,118) · MARCUS CARDENAS 46.1% (5,237) · 881 net for leaderSmith: no dataRobertson: no dataGillespie: no dataKing: no dataTom Green: no dataYoakum: no dataSomervell: no dataKenedy: no dataBorden: no dataSan Saba: no dataBurleson: no dataBee: no dataTrinity: no dataCastro: no dataBrewster: 285 votes · ROLAND GUTIERREZ 62.5% (178) · MARCUS CARDENAS 37.5% (107) · 71 net for leaderGregg: no dataWard: no dataWilbarger: no dataHamilton: no dataStephens: no dataLavaca: no dataBosque: no dataGoliad: no dataRoberts: no dataCallahan: no dataRains: no dataMorris: no dataLampasas: no dataUpshur: no dataWheeler: no dataSan Patricio: no dataMoore: no dataWebb: no dataBlanco: no dataNewton: no dataHockley: no dataPanola: no dataAnderson: no dataCameron: no dataMontgomery: no dataLlano: no dataMason: no dataTaylor: no dataHartley: no dataJim Wells: no dataZapata: no dataTravis: no dataHoward: no dataEl PasoAmarilloLubbockOdessaSan AngeloDallasTylerAustinHoustonSan AntonioCorpus ChristiMcAllen
Hue = county leader · Saturation = √(net margin / 90th-pctile county margin), floored
Noted (16)
  • Underperform6.0
    GUADALUPE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -18.2pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Underperform4.1
    ATASCOSA
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -25.3pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Underperform4.0
    REAL
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -63.0pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Underperform3.5
    UVALDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -5.4pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Underperform2.9
    EDWARDS
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -63.0pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Underperform2.5
    VAL VERDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin +7.8pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Swing outlier2.4
    VAL VERDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ shifted -3.3pp early→E-day vs -7.9pp statewide (3.3σ outlier)
  • Underperform2.3
    CROCKETT
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -37.7pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Underperform2.3
    KINNEY
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -30.2pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Swing outlier2.2
    UVALDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ shifted -12.9pp early→E-day vs -7.9pp statewide (3.5σ outlier)
  • Mid-race flip1.8
    UVALDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ led early (50.7%); MARCUS CARDENAS won E-day (62.2%)
  • Underperform1.5
    TERRELL
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin -45.5pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Underperform1.5
    FRIO
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ's margin +6.7pp vs statewide +28.0pp
  • Crossover0.9
    VAL VERDE
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ (DEM) won a county with 53.0% REP lean
  • Crossover0.2
    FRIO
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ (DEM) won a county with 51.4% REP lean
  • Crossover0.0
    BREWSTER
    ROLAND GUTIERREZ (DEM) won a county with 50.4% REP lean

County results — early vs Election Day

  • ATASCOSA4,550 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,178 · E-day 5221,700
    CARDENASEarly 1,922 · E-day 9282,850
  • BEXAR219,719 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 118,626 · E-day 29,967148,593
    CARDENASEarly 52,194 · E-day 18,93271,126
  • BREWSTER285 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 71 · E-day 107178
    CARDENASEarly 43 · E-day 64107
  • CROCKETT960 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 205 · E-day 94299
    CARDENASEarly 467 · E-day 194661
  • EDWARDS779 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 100 · E-day 44144
    CARDENASEarly 450 · E-day 185635
  • FRIO3,604 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,175 · E-day 7471,922
    CARDENASEarly 971 · E-day 7111,682
  • GUADALUPE12,631 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 4,021 · E-day 1,1435,164
    CARDENASEarly 5,492 · E-day 1,9757,467
  • KINNEY1,177 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 345 · E-day 66411
    CARDENASEarly 648 · E-day 118766
  • MAVERICK11,502 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 5,741 · E-day 2,1837,924
    CARDENASEarly 2,342 · E-day 1,2363,578
  • REAL1,469 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 216 · E-day 56272
    CARDENASEarly 931 · E-day 2661,197
  • TERRELL319 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 61 · E-day 2687
    CARDENASEarly 152 · E-day 80232
  • UVALDE8,274 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 3,103 · E-day 8113,914
    CARDENASEarly 3,023 · E-day 1,3374,360
  • VAL VERDE11,355 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 4,888 · E-day 1,2306,118
    CARDENASEarly 4,070 · E-day 1,1675,237
  • ZAVALA2,745 total
    GUTIERREZEarly 1,463 · E-day 5502,013
    CARDENASEarly 465 · E-day 267732